Component Reports - Macro assessment, trade policy, trade facilitation, poverty assessment - Part B

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Seminar

A pilot study prepared under the Integrated Framework for Technical Assistance

Centre for International Economics
   Canberra & Sydney
   26 November 2001

Contents

Preface 

Glossary

1

Macroeconomic assessment

1

Cambodia’s key macroeconomic developments and prospects

2

Dollarization in Cambodia 9
Exchange rate arrangements 18
Medium term technical assistance requirements 22
2 Developments in trade policy 25
Introduction 25
Measures affecting imports 27
WTO accession issues 48
Interface between trade policies, industrial development and poverty alleviation 55
3 Trade facilitation 64
Preconditions for customs reform 65
Transport 70
Border trade 74
Review of customs procedures and administration 76
 

Export procedures

85
Monitoring tax and duty free imports 90
Camcontrol 93
Trade finance 96
Export processing zones 98
4 Assessing poverty impacts 105
Annexes 129
A Cambodia: medium term macroeconomic framework 131
Baseline scenario 131
Sensitivity analysis 133
B Cambodian excise taxes 136
C Effective tariff rates 137
D Investment restrictions 144
E Cambodia’s CEPT schedule 146
F Documentation processes 147
G Household expenditures 151
References 152
Boxes, charts and tables
1.1

Cambodia: Selected Economic Indicators, 1995-2001

3
1.2

Cambodia: medium-term macroeconomic framework, 1995–2006

4
1.3

Cambodia: balance of payments, 1997–2006

8
1.4

Cambodia: Monetary Survey, December 1995–June 2001

9
1.5

Cambodia: foreign currency deposits, 1991–2000

11
1.6

Foreign currency deposits in Cambodia and neighboring countries

13
1.7

Cambodia riel circulation

14
1.8

Ratio of foreign currency deposits to broad money, 1995 and 2000

15
1.9

Ratio of gross official reserves to foreign currency deposits – 2000

16
1.10

Cambodia: exchange rate developments

20
1.11

Bilateral exchange rates and inflation in selected ASEAN countries

24
2.1

Trade, growth and poverty: assessments of the evidence

26
2.2

Cambodia’s tariff rate structure

28
2.3

Tariff rate structure

29
2.4

Trade tax revenue collected and forgone in 2000

30
2.5

Value of trade tax exemptions by recipient

30
2.6

Average effective trade tax on exports, 2 digit HS

32
2.7

Selected products subject to predetermined minimum dutiable value

34
2.8

Cigarette re-exports and the system of taxes

35
2.9

Selected products subject to import licensing and prohibitions

36
2.10

Selected products subject to export licensing and prohibitions

41
2.11

The Indonesian experience with tax holidays

44
2.12

Sectors included in the negative investment list

45
2.13

Cambodia’s cascading tariff structure

56
2.14

Cambodia's cascading tariff structure by sector in 2001, ISIC two digit

56
2.15

Experiences with import substitution strategies

59
2.16

Estimates of effective rates of protection, 1997

60
2.17

Revenue implications of zero tariff rate on imports of textiles and garments

62
3.1

Customs and revenue authorities

67
3.2

Process to obtain Certificate of Origin for garment export

88
3.3

Source of customs duty and tax exemptions

93
3.4

Relative interests of industrial estate partners

100
3.5

Comparison of export profit under average GSP and MFN tariff rates

103
4.1

Expenditure shares, by decile of per capita consumption, in per cent

109
4.2

Share of food expenditures in total expenditures: rural and urban areas, in per cent by consumption decile

110
4.3

Contributions to income from different sources

111
4.4

Share of wage income in total income: Rural and Urban areas, in per cent by decile

112
4.5

Employment, by industry group and gender

113
4.6

Effect of a 5 per cent reduction in transaction costs, +3 per cent increase in milling yield, and +5 per cent reduction in post harvested losses, by decile, as per cent of total household expenditures

118
4.7

Effect of a 2.5 per cent reduction in transport cost for consumption and production in rural areas, by deciles, as per cent of total household expenditures

119
4.8

Effect of a 10 per cent increase in the price of rice, by decile, as per cent of total household expenditures, Cambodia

120
4.9

Tariff rates for main consumer items

122
4.10

Effect of reducing Food and Clothing and Footwear tariffs to 7 percent

124
4.11

Average net income per hectare, by region, in thousands of riels of 1999(*)

125
4.12

Number of families and number of people beneficiated by the land distribution ( 0.5 has of agricultural land is given to farming households with less that 0.5 ha), in 000

126
4.13

Effect of a land distribution: 0.5 has of agricultural land is given to farming households with less that 0.5 ha In per cent of per capita household consumption

126

4.14

Effect on per capita consumption in those households that received land

126

Preface

 

IN AUGUST 2001, a team of consultants worked with Ministry of Commerce (MOC) officials in Cambodia to conduct a diagnostic study of Cambodia’s trade policy issues and technical assistance needs. The terms of reference for this study were designed to support the Royal Government of Cambodia (RGC) in developing its Pro-Poor Trade Policy Strategy. Ministry of Commerce officials involved were H.E. Sok Siphana, Secretary of State; In Vothana, Bureau Chief; Ung Sovithiea, Deputy Bureau Chief; Keomuny Kong, Deputy Bureau Chief; Sophann Tauch, Director; and Oeur Samrith, Assistant Director. The team members were Kelly Bird, Consultant — Trade Policy; Sandy Cuthbertson, Consultant, Centre for International Economics (CIE) —Team leader; Martin Desautels, Consultant, Gide Loyrette Noel (GLN) — WTO Accession; Curtis Hundley, Consultant — sector studies on tourism and fisheries; Hiau Looi Kee, World Bank — market access survey and analysis; Ray Mallon, Consultant — sector studies on rice and labour services; Philippe Marciniak, IMF — macroeconomic assessment; Andrew McNaughton, Consultant — sector studies on diversified agriculture and handicrafts; Maika Oshikawa, WTO — trade policy, Sopanha SA, IMF — macroeconomic assessment; Isidro Soloaga, Consultant — poverty assessment; Ieng Sovanarra, Consultant — sector study on garments; and Geoff Wright, Consultant — trade facilitation. The review of investment regulation was carried out by Ross Chapman and Lee Davis of the CIE as a parallel study working directly to the Government. The World Bank Task Manager was Ataman Aksoy.

Following this fieldwork, team members prepared drafts of the following reports.

  • Part A: Overview.

  • Part B: Component reports — macro assessment, trade policy, trade facilitation, poverty analysis.

  • Part C: Sector studies — rice, diversified agriculture, handicrafts, fisheries, garments, tourism, labour services.

  • Part D: Review of the Law on Investment.

These drafts were discussed at a workshop held in Cambodia on 19 and 20 November 2001. Following that workshop, draft reports were finalized particularly taking into account participants’ suggestions for technical assistance.

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Glossary

ADB

Asian Development Bank

AFTA

ASEAN Free Trade Area Agreement

ASEAN

Association of South East Asian Nations

CBA

Currency board arrangements

CDC

Cambodian Development Commission

CED

Customs and Excise Department

CEPT

Common Effective Preferential Trade

CSES

Cambodia Socioeconomic Survey

CP

Certificate of processing

ELVIS

Electronic visa implementation system

EPZ

Export Processing Zone

ERP

Effective Rate of Protection

ESCAP

Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific

EU

European Union

FDI

Foreign Direct Investment

FMV

Fair market value

FTB

Foreign Trade Bank

GAP

Governance Action Plan

GDP

Gross domestic product

GMAC

Garment Manufacturer’s Association of Cambodia

GSP

Generalized System of Preference

ICS

Inventory control system

IMF

International Monetary Fund

LOI

Law on Investment

MAFF

Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries

MEF

Ministry of Economy and Finance

MFN

Most favored nation

MIME

Ministry of Industry, Mining and Energy

MOH

Ministry of Health

NAA

National Audit Authority

NBC

National Bank of Cambodia

NGO

Non government organizations

PRGF

Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility

PSI

Pre-Shipment Inspection

RGC

Royal Government of Cambodia

ROF

Report of Findings

SEDP

Socioeconomic Development Plan

TEA

Temporary Export Authorization

TCAP

Technical Cooperation Action Plan

TPD

Trade Preference Department

UN

United Nations

UNTAC

United Nations Transitional Authority in Cambodia

VAT

Value Added Tax

VSS

Valuation Support Service

WB

World Bank

WTO

World Trade Organization

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